Good To Soft

Racing blog, occasional rants.

Absolute Beginners (27/6/2014)

A couple of decent placed performances, but nothing closer sadly.

2:00 Doncaster
The obvious pick here would be Shahralasal, (try saying that after a pint or 2) but I think it might be worth looking else where, and Angels Wings could be interesting, by Dark Angel and out of a Dixieland Band mare and coming here for a yard with a decent record at this track.

2:10 Musselburgh
She’s a Worldie has some serious speed on both sides of the family, she’s by this blogs most favourite of sires, Kodiac, and from a yard with a very impressive strike rate at this track. Sold!

2:30 Doncaster
On debut Hawkesbury looked to be playing a little game of “how green is it actually possible to look.” Hopefully he might behave a little better today and know whats expected of him a bit more, hopefully the extra furlong will help to frank some of the promise he showed on debut.

3:10 Musselburgh
I’m really unconvinced by this race, however Honest Bob’s showed a huge amount of improvement to win last time out and a penalty might not stop him if that upwards curve continues.

5:25 Curragh
While Ballydoyle/Coolmore might have entered half the equine population in this race I think it might be worth looking elsewhere, and it is Colour Rhapsody who has caught my eye, good trainer record, very promising sire. Potentially a smart one!

6:20 Chester
This is all about Super Quick I think, Not at all far away in fifth at York earlier in the month, from a yard with a good record here and could prove hard to beat.

6:30 Newmarket
I love a real challenge like this, and needless to say it will be no surprise if some very, very good horses come out of this incredibly competitive race. On balance of pedigree and trainer records, I have to side with Exceed and Excel filly, On High from the Hannon yard.

Absolute Beginners (26/6/2014)

Did manage a winner yesterday, though struggled overall. Hopefully a few pins will fall right!

2:20 Yarmouth
I’ll take a chance here as Rob Cowell is by no means the most prolific of two year old trainers, however Ya Hallah really couldn’t be better bred for the job and is worth the risk!

2:30 Newcastle
I was (rightly) confident about Geordie George on debut, but that was an average race on heavy ground and I don’t think he’ll have it as easy here. I think Vimy Ridge has probably been a bit unlucky and is worth a try in this race.

3:00 Newcastle
I am so unconvinced by the strength of the form in this race, so Third Time Lucky is probably worth siding with being a newcomer with that delightful combination of a decent sire of two year olds and a trainer with a decent strike rate.

6:00 Tipperary
This is very uninspired, so apologies in advance, but I think Battle Of Marathon is probably half decent, and Rule The Waves should have this one assumes. Though look out for Lupie, who has been so unlucky in the things he has been getting stuck behind.

6:10 Leicester
This is interesting, I think Laidback Romeo was found an exceptionally above average maiden to run in on debut, and could be useful. However Fingal’s Cave will be the pick, by Fast Company who is enjoying a good first season, and from a yard with a very solid strike rate here.

6:50 Hamilton
There are two newcomers in this race and What Could She Be looks a serious prospect on paper, being by Dark Angel, an excellent sire of two year olds, and while Bryan Smart might not be a big name per say, he has a 35% strike rate with two year olds at this track.

Absolute Beginners (25/6/2014)

No luck, had a third and a second but that was the closest we go sadly.

2:00 Carlisle
Songye is of interest based on a good debut performance despite not getting a clear run, however you never know how good the newcomers will be, so for that reason, George Bowen is worth chancing, by the ever improving Dark Angel out of an Oasis Dream mare, and trained by Richard Fahey who has a solid record here.

2:10 Salisbury
Rather unconvinced by the credentials of the newcomers in this race, so going to side with Prize Exhibit, who I don’t think I’m alone in thinking would have won if he wasn’t stuck waiting for a gap that never appeared last time out, and this could be a great chance to set the record straight.

2:30 Carlisle
Again an interesting contest thanks to some nicely bred newcomers and some good form from those with a run, and it’s the former I’ll be siding with here, Maid In Rome might be worth chancing.

2:40 Salisbury
There are some nice horses in this race so I’d not discount many too lightly, however Starspangledbanner has made the most remarkable start to his career as a stallion, and Francis Scott Key is with a decent trainer to boot.

6:00 Naas
While The Great War came undone at Ascot, he still showed ability and Arriana wasn’t far behind and looked like the step up in trip was needed. A tentative pick in a difficult race.

6:40 Bath
This is an interesting race with both decent form on offer and I’m sticking with the newcomers, Gumhrear is from a yard who do well with two year olds here, and is by this blogs absolute favourite sire, Kodiac!

6:50 Kempton
I love these sort of races, for all people name call the all weather, there are, on paper some brilliant horses from very powerful connections, and while plenty deserve respect, Mountainside, by excellent sire Dubawi and Appleby has a 20% strike rate with juveniles here.

7:50 Kempton
While I usually can’t bear races where everything has had a run, it’s really interesting how this form has stacked up, and these a decent horses, no surprise if some of them turn into decent black type horses. Of these Wild Tobacco is my favourite, a good early season winner and hopefully has progressed from that.

Absolute Beginners (23/6/14)

I do like being right, so it was good to have a winner! Four races on Tuesday, though perhaps none to get hugely confident about.

1:45 Beverley
this race goes to Richard Fahey, and while i think Flatcapper is the obvious first string, Yukos Flyer is an interesting newcomer, and might be worth looking at at a bigger price.

2:00 Brighton
The form of those with a run looks pretty weak, so I’m just going to pretty much blindly go with the newcomer, though Kyllachy is no bad sire of two year olds, so Jimmy’s Hall is the one to go with!

6:55 Newbury
For once none of the newcomers here are really doing much to convince me, so going on the form of a race here at the end of May, Secret Spirit, trained by the in form Clive Cox, is the one to go for.

7:25 Newbury
The race of the day by some margin! Two real standouts for me in All Rounder and Ya Latif, both by excellent two year old sires, from yards with good records here and with a 25% strike rate this year with the age group, but All Rounder is from seriously powerful connections and good family, and might just be worth siding with. Might have to do a cheeky reverse forecast though!

absolute beginners 23/6/14

Haven’t done one of these for a while, must stick to it! There are three decent races to look at so without further ado‚Ķ.

3:55 Lingfield
Blame Love is the first Blame to run in this country, and that will be interesting to see how he goes, and Anonymous John has had the form of his debut handsomely franked at Ascot last week so he might prove popular. However newcomers are always worth looking at and Rashash by Kyllachy, a strong sire of two year olds and second dam is the dam of Stimulation, and his dam, Labisa, has the dam of Oriel, who was a two year old winner, and her only other runner. Well worth having a go on.

6:20 Thirsk
Not a bad race at all, and 15 runners should keep it competitive, as always, newcomers, newcomers, newcomers. Edgar Balthazar is a real stand out for me, he’s well related, and the trainer has a 20% strike rate with two year olds at this track and is enjoying a 28% strike rate with the age group this season.

6:40 Windsor
An interesting race due to how many young sires and trainers without stirling records in it. Louie De Palma is the stand out of the newcomers for me. A half brother to Bahamian Heights, and if you go deep enough into to family there are the likes of Singspiel and Campanologist. From a decent yard too!

Absolute Beginners 11/6/2014

A winner and a 7/1 placed horse isn’t too bad I don’t think! Several races on Wednesday to get stuck in to.

2:20 Beverly
This is really quite dire. I think Just Marion has probably run well against the best horses, less a grim run over 6 last time out, but back down over 5 with a claimer up I think she has a chance.

2:30 Yarmouth
Neither newcomer is doing much to excite me, so Burning The Clocks, who had a good race before looking unable to quicken on slow ground on debut might just have to be the one.

2:40 Haydock
While these with a run are probably no slouches, looking at newcomers is often well worth it, and Tohfa is bred to be speedy, was not cheap, and is from a yard revered for their exploits with this age group.

5:25 Fairyhouse
This could be a really good race, and without any stunningly bred Coolmore newcomers to look at, quite an open one too. Marsali who has a smart american pedigree is interesting, as is Jeune Et Jolie. However Belle Et Bete is running in the famous Snow Fairy colours, and is by an ever improving sire, and the yard has a 43% strike rate with their 2 year olds so far this season.

6:20 Kempton
I nearly had a bit of a conundrum here, Azmaam for Hannon will surely attract interest, and I liked Honcho who was taken out earlier in the week. However Godolphin’s record in these races is not to be sniffed at, and it is the one donning the white cap who I think will have the edge, Muqarred has a smart US family, and Bin Suroor’s record here in recent years with two year olds is an impressive 43%.

Absolute Beginners (10/6/2014)

Only one of my selections got as far as to run, and came second, which was a bit frustrating!

1:55 Salisbury
A race I think I’m going to have to tear myself away from looking at the newcomers, as there aren’t really any by any stallions I have down as two year old sires. Little Palaver ran a good race when a huge price to finish second behind Hannon hot-shot Parsley and I’ll side with him here.

2:25 Salisbury
Again, not hugely taken with either of the three newcomers, though Runner Runner might edge it. I was really taken with Jaganory showing a bit of heart to keep running on though initially outpaced to nab a non-too-distant second in the dying strides on debut, and he’ll do again for here.

6:25 Lingfield
My fail safe selection in these sort of races is simply to back the Godolphin runner, which I’m not doing! I imagine after Son Of Africa’s win, Goldcrest will be of interest, as will the two Hannon runners. However Commandaria is from a useful american family, and Jeremy Noseda has a solid record on both turf and all weather tracks here at Lingfield.